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Three popular bad strategies encountered at the blackjack table are: never bust, mimic the dealer, and always assume the dealer has a ten in the hole. All three are very bad strategies. Following are my specific comments on each of them, including the house edge under Atlantic City rules (dealer stands on soft 17, split up to 4 hands, double after split, double any two cards) of 0.43%.
在牌桌上最常见到以下三种坏策略——永不爆牌、模仿庄家、假设庄家的底牌是10——事实上,这三种玩家策略都是非常糟糕的。接下来我将分别来解说这三种坏策略;假设牌桌的规则是Atlantic City规则(庄家在软17停牌、最多分四手、分牌后允许加倍、任两张牌都可以加倍),此种规则的庄家优势为0.43%。
Never bust: For my analysis of this strategy I assumed the player would never hit a hard 12 or more. All other decisions were according to correct basic strategy. This “never bust” strategy results in a house edge of 3.91%.
永不爆牌:在这种策略下,玩家在硬12点及以上的时候就停牌了,以保证自己永远不会爆牌。可是,我计算的结果是,使用这种策略的话,庄家优势将提高到3.91%。
Mimic the dealer: For my analysis of this strategy I assumed the player would always hit 16 or less and stand on 17 or more, including a soft 17. The player never doubled or split, since the dealer is not allowed to do so. This “mimic the dealer” strategy results in a house edge of 5.48%.
模仿庄家:在这种策略下,玩家完全按照庄家的规则来决定要牌还是停牌,16点以下要牌、17点以上停牌、永不双倍下注、也用不分牌,完全和庄家一样。我计算的结果是,使用这种策略的话,庄家优势将提高到5.48%。
Assume a ten in the hole: For this strategy I first figured out the optimal basic strategy under this assumption. If the dealer had an ace up, then I reverted to proper basic strategy, because the dealer would have peeked for blackjack, making a 10 impossible. This “assume a ten” strategy results in a house edge of 10.03%.
假设庄家的底牌是10:……这种策略下,庄家优势将提高到10.03%。


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